CD 23: Runoff Certain!!!!
By Vince Leibowitz on Nov 8, 2006 in 2006 Texas Elections
With two precincts left, it looks certain that Texas Congressman Henry Bonillia is headed for a runoff.
He holds 47.97 percent of the vote; Ciro Rodriguez comes in next with 20.17.
The race for Congressional District 23 was a special election because the court-ordered remedy to fix the 2003 Redistricting plan Tom DeLay pushed through the Texas Legislature altered the boundaries of the district, making it more Democratic.
The combined total for the other Democrats and the independent is 31.86 percent. Combined with Ciro’s totals, this gives Democrats a 52.03 percent edge over Bonillia.
So, while no particular Democrat has a “clear mandate,” Rodriguez will win and it is up to each and every one of these candidates to get their people out for Ciro.
I’ve heard a nasty rumor that Auggie Beltran will endorse Bonilla, but I don’t think it’s true.
I also think Lunkin Gilliland needs to pour some significant cash into third-party GOTV activities to make this happen.
[...] You can view the full list of results at the Texas Sec of State website and Capitol Annex is covering most of the major Texas races and though he’s Democrat he’s got good sources and I respect him. The only difference you may see between his Bonilla post and my write up above is that I have the numbers for Democrats at 49.33% and he has them at 52.03% but he’s counting the full independent vote I don’t count the Independent vote since I view it as unpredictable. I would rather split that vote 50/50 or 75/25 democrat based on historical trends. Either way though Bonilla still loses. [...]
[...] You can view the full list of results at the Texas Sec of State website and Capitol Annex is covering most of the major Texas races. The only difference you may see between his Bonilla post and my write up above is that I have the numbers for Democrats at 49.33% and he has them at 52.03%, but he’s counting the full independent vote. Either way though Bonilla still loses. [...]