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Texas Lyceum Poll Shows Noriega, Cornyn Neck And Neck

From the latest Texas Lyceum Poll:

Freshman U.S. Sen. John Cornyn, a Republican, leads Democratic challenger Rick Noriega in the poll, but the margin is slim and a large number of voters haven’t made up their minds. Cornyn had the support of 38% of the likely voters in the survey, to Noriega’s 36%, with 24% saying they’re not committed to either candidate.

While that 24 percent “undecided” is a very high number, this poll showing Cornyn in the high thirties and Noriega only two points behind (and the high “undecided factor” actually sounds like the most reasonable of the poll numbers we’ve seen in this race.

Keep in mind the same poll showed McCain leading Obama in Texas:

Republican John McCain would beat Democrat Barack Obama in Texas if the race were held now. But a significant number of Texans said they haven’t picked a favorite yet. Among likely voters, McCain had the support of 43% of those polled to 38% for Obama. Libertarian Bob Barr and independent Ralph Nader had about 1% each. One of every six voters — 17% — said they haven’t decided who will get their vote in November.

That’s a much smaller “undecided” factor than in the Senate race.

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  1. links from Technoratiexactly what it takes to win, given his recent record), and you can still pick apart his argument. First and foremost, Stanford claims Noriega should be “winning already.” Evidently Stanford and the Dallas Morning News slept through the release ofthe Texas Lyceum Poll, an independent poll that showed Noriega and his rival neck-and-neck, in spite of the fact that Cornyn holds the cash advantage and that Noriega supposedly lacks name recognition. As we in the Netroots have come to know, a political consultant’s job is to either win or make sure their narrative becomes conventional

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