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Rasmussen Poll Shows Texas Senate Race Getting Tighter, Cornyn Continuing To Dip Below 50 Percent

Interesting news from the latest Rasmussen Poll on the Noriega v. Cornyn contest:

The United States Senate race in Texas continues to get tighter this month. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the Lone Star State finds Republican Incumbent John Cornyn leading Democratic State Legislator Rick Noriega 47% to 37%. When “leaners” are included, Cornyn leads 50% to 39%.

The incumbent senator is viewed favorably by 55% of voters and unfavorably by 31%. Noriega’s numbers are 45% favorable and 33% unfavorable.

July marks the second straight month that support for the incumbent has dropped below 50%. Last month, Cornyn had a 48% to 35% lead. Incumbents who poll below 50% are generally considered vulnerable. Cornyn polled better in early June, when he led the democrat 52% to 35%.

Though Cornyn’s lead has decreased this month, his numbers among unaffiliated voters have improved. The Republican now leads 41% to 24% among those voters. Support from his own party fell slightly this month, from 85% to 81%. On the other side of the aisle, Noreiga is now backed by 79% of Democrats, up from 68% last month.

Good news for Noriega.

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Filed Under: 2008 Texas Elections

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  1. links from Technorati50 to 39 for Cornyn. A week-old poll has the race now at 50 to 43. KT reminds us that Cornyn got two free weeks of media following Hurricane Ike. The national consensus appears to be that this is not a race to write off

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